ON THE ISSUE OF QUALITY AND RELIABILITY OF EXPERT JUDGMENTS IN DETERMINING THE ENGINEERING LEVEL OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS
https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2013-0-4-90-109
Abstract
This paper has shown the topicality of using a method of expert judgments for developing complex technical systems (CTS). And in reference with this, the paper has considered the issues of judgments of a required number of experts in conducting peer reviews, their expert knowledge, data on the minimum size of an expert group and methodical approach to determine the level of possible errors of experts to provide judgment of an expert group, including expert assessments on the basis of past knowledge, as well as the possibility of an aggregate consideration of opinions of individual experts involved in the assessment of a case study.
About the Authors
A. V. Kryanev
National Research Nuclear University MIFI
Russian Federation
Doctor of physics and mathematics, professor of chair of Applied Mathematics
Russian Federation
Doctor of physics and mathematics, professor of chair of Applied Mathematics
S. S. Semenov
JSC State Scientific and Production Enterprise “Region”
Russian Federation
PhD Engineering, Head of Analysis and Perspective Planning Group
Russian Federation
PhD Engineering, Head of Analysis and Perspective Planning Group
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Review
For citations:
Kryanev A.V., Semenov S.S. ON THE ISSUE OF QUALITY AND RELIABILITY OF EXPERT JUDGMENTS IN DETERMINING THE ENGINEERING LEVEL OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS. Dependability. 2013;(4):90-109. https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2013-0-4-90-109
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ISSN 1729-2646 (Print)
ISSN 2500-3909 (Online)
ISSN 2500-3909 (Online)
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