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ORGANIZATION OF MONITORING AND OPTIMAL PREVENTIVE MEASURES OF A TRANSPORT ACCIDENT WITH THE SPECIFIED DEPENDABILITY LEVEL

https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2013-0-4-137-161

Abstract

The probability of a transport accident significantly depends on various factors and groups of factors. The paper investigates the economic expedience of monitoring a random factor and transport accident prevention. Several criteria for utility evaluation of monitoring and prevention for various strategies to minimize an accident risk are offered. The paper also presents an example of using these results in a train makeup.

About the Authors

A. I. Kibzun
Moscow Aviation Institute
Russian Federation
Doctor of physics and mathematics, professor, vice president of Consortium of aerospace institutes of Russia, Head of chair


A. N. Ignatov
Moscow Aviation Institute
Russian Federation
Student


References

1. Rosenberg E.N., ZamyshlyaevA.M., Proshin G.B. Determining the risk of transport accidents and events’ occurrence by monitoring the state of the factors influencing their occurrence // Dependability, 2009, #3 (31), p. 37-50.

2. Zamyshlyaev A.M., Kan U. S., Kibzun A.I., Shubinsky I.B. Statistical estimation of a hazard of accidents’ occurrence on railways // Dependability, 2012, № 2 (41), p. 104-117.

3. KibzunA.I., Goryainova E.R., NaumovA.V. Probability theory and mathematical statistics. Basic training course with examples and problems – M. FIZMATLIT, 2007.

4. Fikhtengolts G.M. The course of differential and integral calculus. M. FIZMATLIT, 2001. Volume 1

5. Rail Equipment Accident Report 6180.54 for 2010. US Department of Transportation Federal Railroad Administration (http://safetydata.fra.dot.gov).


Review

For citations:


Kibzun A.I., Ignatov A.N. ORGANIZATION OF MONITORING AND OPTIMAL PREVENTIVE MEASURES OF A TRANSPORT ACCIDENT WITH THE SPECIFIED DEPENDABILITY LEVEL. Dependability. 2013;(4):137-161. https://doi.org/10.21683/1729-2646-2013-0-4-137-161

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ISSN 1729-2646 (Print)
ISSN 2500-3909 (Online)